Week 2 – Stick to the system
Here are this week’s potential portfolio returns:
0.20 for Green Bay -500 (-7) vs. Carolina
0.33 for New Orleans -300 (-6.5) vs Chicago
2.55 for San Diego +255 (+7) vs New England
This is a good test week for the portfolio. If left to my own prognosticating I would not pick the New Orleans game or the San Diego game. Chicago looked good last week in dismantling, what was thought to be, a good Atlanta team. And San Diego did not look good against the Vikings while New England looked almost unstoppable against Miami.
This is all part of the deal. I do think New Orleans will beat the Bears, but it doesn’t matter, that game would be selected regardless of what I think right now. New Orleans were selected before the year and it’s important to stick to the system. With regards to the Chargers if San Diego were able to pull off the win it would be a huge boost to my returns. One of the primary advantages of the system is that is removes one week biases from your thinking. New England got upset by the Browns last year, and nobody predicted that. With the NFL trying to pick one game at a time is a losing proposition. As the saying goes: “They don’t build casinos out of sand”
One more note: At this point in the season we don’t know very much, so the games look riskier. Atlanta may be terrible, Chicago mediocre, and New Orleans above average. We don’t know the order of teams right now. The same goes for New England/San Diego. Now that I’ve sufficiently eased my pain over this week’s portfolio, I’ll let you go.
Thanks for reading
